So he is calling our shove with 62 combos/104 opening combos =.
Total hand combos in shove calling range = 62 Total hand combinations in opening range = 104 Shove calling Range: This can be expressed combinatorically as well: Opening Range: So we can expect our shove to be called 4.7/7.8 =.
Their shove calling range is 4.7% of all starting hands. The opening range above is actually 7.8% of starting hands. If we 3-bet shove over their open raise, we believe they will only call our shove with TT+, AK, and AQ, and fold everything else. This is roughly 77+, ATs+, AJo+, and KQs. Example 2:Īn opponent open raises approximately 8% of starting hands. You will be up against AK specifically 40% of the time then (16/40), and up against an overpair 60% of the time, making you more likely to be a 4-1 underdog in the hand than a small coin flip favorite.